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2013 APEC Typhoon Symposium

會議主題Theme: Typhoon Behavior and Its Impact in a Warming Globe

時間地點21-23 October 2013 at NTU GIS Convention Center, Taipei

 

Time

21 Oct (Mon)

08:30~09:00

Registration

09:00~10:00

Opening Remark and Keynote

Ching-Hua LO,

NARLabs, Chinese Taipei

Mikiharu SHIMIZU,

APEC Secretariat

Wei-Fuu YANG,

WRA, Chinese Taipei

Global Climate Change – Integration, Coherence and Governance

Hong-Yuan LEE,

NTU/MOI, Chinese Taipei

10:00~10:30

Group Photo / Coffee Break

10:30~12:00

Keynote II

10:30~11:15

Record-Breaking Increase in Taiwan Typhoon Rainfall in the Recent Decade:

Is it Related to Global Warming?

Chih-Pei CHANG,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

11:15~12:00

Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change:

An Update Focusing on the Atlantic and NW Pacific Basins

Thomas KNUTSON,

NOAA, U.S.A.

12:00~13:20

Lunch

13:20~15:00

Met Session 1:
Typhoon in Warming Globe

Moderator:

Russ ELSBERRY

Hydro Session 1:
Flood Resilience and Mitigation

Moderator:

Wen-Cheng LIU

Socio-Economic Session 1:
Disaster Reduction and Resilience

Moderator:

Mick SHADWICK

13:20~13:45

On the Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Severe Tropical Cyclones

Greg HOLLAND,

NCAR, U.S.A.

Re-Visiting Data Rich Dynamical Downscaling Simulations

Shie-Yui LIONG,

Nat. Univ. of Singapore, Singapore

Research's Role in Helping Society Cope with Weather Extremes in a Changing Climate

Nanette LOMARDA,

WMO, The Philippines

13:45~14:10

Cross-tropopause Transport of Moisture and Possible Role Played by Typhoon

Pao-Kuan WANG,

Academia Sinica,

Chinese Taipei

Regional Inundation Forecasting during Typhoon Periods

Gwo-Fong LIN,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

Sentinel Asia: Space-based Disaster Risk Reduction across the Asia-Pacific Region

Kazuya KAKU,

JAXA, Japan

14:10~14:35

Variability of Tropical Cyclone Intensity at Landfall

Johnny CHAN,

City Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

River Discharge Projection in Indochina Peninsula under a Changing Climate

Yasuto TACHIKAWA,

Kyoto Univ., Japan

Remote Sensing Satellite FORMOSAT-2 and its Efforts on Disaster Support

Nai-Yu CHEN,

NSPO, Chinese Taipei

14:35~15:00

Tropical Multi-Scale Oscillations and TC Activities in Western Pacific

Chung-Hsiung SUI,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

From Climate Projection to Hydrologic Extreme Projection – Coupling GCM outputs and a stochastic storm rainfall simulation model

Ke-Sheng CHENG,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

Post-Typhoon Morakot Socio-Economic Adaptation

Herng-Yuh CHANG,

Morakot PDRC, Chinese Taipei

15:00~15:20

Coffee Break

15:20~17:00

Met Session 2:
Typhoon Frequency and Track

Moderator:

Tien-Chiang YEH

Hydro Session 2:
Flood Resilience and Mitigation

Moderator:

Kwan-Tun LEE

Socio-Economic Session 2:
Mainstream Adaptation Policy

 

Moderator:

Herng-Yuh CHANG

15:20~15:45

Will Climate Models be able to Accurately Predict Numbers of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in a Warming Globe? Outlook Based on Extended-range and Seasonal Model Predictions

Russell ELSBERRY,

NPS, USA

Flood Resilience for Risk Management: Case Study of River Basin in Indonesia

Iwan K. HADIHARDAJA,

ITB, Indonesia

Thailand International Cooperation for Disaster Preparedness in Health Sector

Anuchar SETHASATHIEN,

NIEM, Thailand

15:45~16:10

Impact of Tropical Cyclones – Malaysia’s Experience

Alui BAHARI,

MMD, Malaysia

The Advection Based Lagrangian-Eulerian Regression (ABLER) Scheme for Storm Tracking

Tim-Hau LEE,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

The National Climate Change Adaptation Policy Guideline and Local Adaptation Plan in Chinese Taipei

Fei-Yu KUO,

CEPD, Chinese Taipei

16:10~16:35

Prediction of Typhoon Torrential Rainfall over Taiwan using a Modified Probability Matching Technique

Ying-Hwa "Bill" KUO,

UCAR, USA

Urban Flood Risk Management During Typhoon in Macao

Cheng-Hou CHAN,

SMG, Macao, China

Local Adaptive Behavior on the Impacts of Global Environmental Change: The Case of Flood-related Landslides in the Philippines

Damasa MACANDOG,

UP, The Philippines

16:35~17:00

An Ocean Coupling Potential Intensity (OC_PI) Index for Tropical Cyclones

I-I LIN,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

A Study of Adaptation for Flood Mitigation due to Climate Change of Kaoping River

Yih-Chi TAN,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

Global Issue, local action Climate Change Adaptation of Taipei City: a Communication and Consensus process

Wei-Bin CHEN,

PCCU, Chinese Taipei

17:00~18:30

Poster Exhibition

Time

22 Oct (Tue)

8:00~8:30

Registration

8:30~10:10

Met Session 3:
Typhoon Intensity and Precipitation

Moderator:

Pay-Liam LIN

Hydro Session 3:
Hydrologic / Hydraulic Modeling and Climate Change

Moderator:

Jihn-Sung LAI

Sci-Tech Dialogue:
Member Economy Experience Sharing (APEC Members)

Chair: Jong-Dao JOU

Co-Chair: Cynthia CELEBRE

1.    Partnership between NWS and Academia

Rodrigo Delgado URZÚA,

Chile

2.    Low Latitude Tropical Cyclone, Does The Warm Globe Plays a Role? Case Study of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily

Fachri RADJAB,

Indonesia

3.    Toward Risk Information on Climate Change, especially on Tropical Cyclones - Progress report by the Japan Meteorological Agency

Shingo YAMADA,

Japan

4.    Recent Activities of National Typhoon Center

Ki-Ho CHANG

Introduction : Forecast Procedure Of National Typhoon Center

Im-Yong OH,

Korea

5.    Country Report (Malaysia)

Teck Kiong WONG,

Malaysia

6.    Tropical Cyclones in the SW Pacific: operational and research perspectives

Nicolas FAUCHEREAN,

New Zealand

8:30~8:55

Heavy rainfall observation in Jeju island, Korea (2012-2013)

Dong-In LEE,

Pukyong Nat. Univ., Korea

Flood Simulation and Disaster Impact Analysis Using CCHE2D Model

Yafei JIA,

NCCHE, USA

8:55~9:20

On the Slowdown of Typhoon Motion by the Heavy Rainfall

Hung-Chi KUO,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

Cross-Sectoral Vulnerability Assessment and Resilient Capacity Building

Ching-Pin TUNG,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

9:20~9:45

Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Associated Rainfall Characteristics Simulated by Very High Resolution Global Climate Models

Cheng-Ta CHEN,

NTNU, Chinese Taipei

An Integrated Flooding Risk Assessment Model for Tsengwen River Basin

Han-Liang LIN,

NCKU, Chinese Taipei

9:45~10:10

Where will Typhoons Occur More or Less in the Future?

Hiroyuki MURAKAMI,

Hawaii Univ., Japan

10:10~10:30

Coffee Break

10:30~12:10

Hydro-Met Forum

Moderator:

Chia-Ping CHENG

Socio-Economic Session 3:
Extreme Weather Risk Assessment

Moderator:

Daigee SHAW

Sci-Tech Dialogue:
Member Economy Experience Sharing (APEC Members)

7.    The Impacts of Typhoon Pablo (BOPHA-2012)

Thelma CINCO / Carina LAO,

The Philippines

8.    Chinese Taipei

CWB Climate Change Adaption and Disaster Weather Coping Strategies Experience Sharing.

Kuo-Chen LU,

CWB, Chinese Taipei

Climate Change Adaptation Study of Water Agencies

Hung-Kwai CHEN,

WRA, Chinese Taipei

Debris Flow Disaster Management in Taiwan-Challenges from Historic Events

Chen-Yang LEE / Samuel YIN,

SWCB, Chinese Taipei

Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon Quantitatively Precipitation in Taiwan

Lung-Yao CHANG,

Narlabs TTFRI, Chinese Taipei

A Three-Year Follow-Up Recovery Survey for Typhoon Morakot

Hsiang-Chieh LEE,

Narlabs NCDR, Chinese Taipei

10.  Tropical Cyclone In The South China Sea During October To December 2006-2011

Surapong SARAPA,

Thailand

11.  Measures To Minimize Damage And Loss Caused By Typhoons In Viet Nam

Nguyen Thi Hien THUAN,

Viet Nam

10:30~10:55

Toward the CWB Operational Typhoon Quantify Precipitation Forecast

Treng-Shi HUANG,

CWB, Chinese Taipei

Hurricane Risk & Economic Behavior: Coordinating Evacuation & Mitigation

David LETSON,

Univ. of Miami, USA

10:55~11:20

Flood Resilience and Mitigation Reinforced Dynamic Neural Network for Multi-Step-Ahead Flood Forecast

Fi-John CHANG,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

Financial Aspects of Typhoon and Flooding Risk Management

Mick SHADWICK,

PC Jak Consulting, Australia

11:20~11:45

Rethinking Sustainable Flood Management in California’s Central Valley

Yung-Hsin SUN,

MWH Americas, Inc., USA

Using Prescriptive Decision-making Model to Estimate the Economic Values of Meteorological Information Services for Agriculture in Taiwan

Hen-I LIN,

CIER, Chinese Taipei

11:45~12:10

Development and Application of a Statistics-based Inundation Forecasting System for Disaster Preparedness in Pingtung County

Tsun-Hua YANG,

Narlabs TTFRI,

Chinese Taipei

Managing Typhoon Related Risks by Insurance

Cheng-Hsien TSAI,

NCCU, Chinese Taipei

12:10~14:00

Lunch

14:00~15:00

Keynote Session III

14:00~14:30

Is Extreme Typhoon Precipitation Increasing with Global Warming?

Shaw Chen LIU,

Academia Sinica, Chinese Taipei

14:30~15:00

Recent Advances in Modeling of Precipitation and Extreme Temperature Processes

Van-Thanh-Van NGUYEN,

McGill Univ., Canada

15:00~15:30

Coffee Break

15:30~16:00

Student Poster Awards

16:00~17:00

Concluding Session & Closing Remarks

Chair: Jong-Dao JOU

Co-Chair: Cynthia CELEBRE

Panelists:

Russ ELSBERRY, Van-Thanh-Van NGUYEN, Mick SHADWICK, Alui BAHARI, Anuchar SETHASATHIEN, Gwo-Fong LIN

17:00~

Adjournment

Time

23 Oct (Wed)

09:00~18:00

Field Study



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