2016 APEC Typhoon Symposium-Recent Development of Typhoon and Flood Forecasting Techniques and Applications

 

I.           Date: May 24-26, 2016 (Tuesday-Thursday)

II.        Venue: GIS NTU Convention Center

Time

24 May (Tue.)

08:30~09:00

Registration

09:00~09:30

Opening Remarks

Room: The Forum

09:00~09:30

Ching-Yen Tsay, APEC Research Center for Typhoon and Society, Chinese Taipei

Wei-Fuu Yang, Ministry of Economic Affairs, Chinese Taipei

Rowena Cristina L. Guevara, Department of Science and Technology, The Philippines

Ching-Hua Lo, National Applied Research Laboratories, Chinese Taipei

09:30~10:00

Group Photo / Coffee Break

10:00~12:00

Keynote Speech I

Room: The Forum

10:00~10:40

Natural Disaster Prevention in Taiwan: Research and Applications

Tai-Jen Chen, National Taiwan University, Chinese Taipei

10:40~11:20

Flood Control Strategy and Smart Disaster Prevention

Ruey-Der Wang, Water Resources Agency, Chinese Taipei

11:20~12:00

Who is Failing Whom? The Disaster Risk Relationship between Science and Practice

Jane Rovins, Massey University / Disaster Reduction & Resilience Solutions, Ltd., New Zealand

12:00~13:20

Lunch
Room: The Forum

13:20~14:40

Met Session 1

Advanced Technologies in Typhoon Observation and Forecast

Chair: Johnny Chung Leung Chan

Room: The Forum

Hydro Session 1

Disaster Simulation, Prevention and Mitigation: Flood

Chair: Tsun-Hua Yang

Room: Socrates

Socio-Economic Session 1

 Evaluation of Typhoon and Flood Forecasting Services

Chair: Ching-Cheng Chang

Room: Plato

13:20~13:40

Advanced Typhoon Observation and Forecasts with New Technologies such as HIMAWARI-8 and High-resolution Global Models

Yoshiaki Takeuchi

JMA, Japan

Operational Flood Forecasting at the European and Global Scales with EFAS and GloFAS

Calum Baugh

ECMWF, UK

Impacts of Flood on Rice Market in the Mekong Delta Region in Vietnam

Jun Furuya

JIRCAS, Japan

13:40~14:00

Introduction of the Experiment on Typhoon Intensity Change in Coastal Area (EXOTICCA)

Xiaotu Lei

CMA, China

Hydrological Data Application for Flood Early Warning for Urban Communities in Thailand

Thada Sukhapunnaphan

RID, Thailand

Valuing Weather and Climate: Economic Assessment of Taiwan's Meteorological Information Services for Users in Agriculture

Hen-I Lin

CIER, Chinese Taipei

14:00~14:20

Dynamical-statistical Seasonal Prediction for Western North Pacific Typhoons Based on APCC Multi-Models

Ok-Yeon Kim

APCC, Korea

Variable Parameter Unsteady Flow Model for the Han River

Kyung-Soo Jun

Sungkyunkwan Univ., Korea

Willingness-to-pay for Mobile Phone Short-message Warning Service for Typhoons in Vietnam

Thanh Cong Nguyen

National Economics Univ.,

Viet Nam

14:20~14:40

Ensemble Typhoon Wind Speed Forecast

Jing-Shan Hong

CWB, Chinese Taipei

Rainfall Forecasts Combining with Shallow Landslide Model for Real-time Warning System

Jui-Yi Ho

ACTS, Chinese Taipei

Benefits of Ensemble Typhoon Track Forecasting: A Case Study in Taiwan's Agricultural Sector

Ya-Pin Lyu

ACTS, Chinese Taipei

14:40~15:00

Coffee Break

15:00~16:20 

Met Session 2

Study and Prediction of Typhoon and Heavy Rainfall Characteristics

Chair: Yoshiaki Takeuchi
Room: The Forum

Hydro Session 2

Disaster Simulation, Prevention and Mitigation: Landslide

Chair: Kwan Tun Lee

Room: Socrates

Socio-Economic Session 2 Application of Typhoon and Flood Forecasting Services

Chair: Shu-Ling Chen

Room: Plato

15:00~15:20

Change in Ocean Subsurface Environment to Suppress Tropical Cyclone Intensification under Global Warming

I-I Lin

NTU, Chinese Taipei

A Multi-hazards Simulator Supporting Warning and Evacuation System for Sediment Disasters

Masaharu Fujita

Kyoto Univ., Japan

Reducing the Social Cost of Federal Crop Insurance: A Role for Government Hedging with Weather Derivatives

Wonho Chung

Pusan Nat. Univ., Korea

15:20~15:40

Study on the Heavy Rainfall Event over Vietnam Central Highland by WRF Model

Mai Van Khiem

IMHEN, Viet Nam

Use of Past Typhoon Data for Landslide Modeling and Mapping

Kang-Tsung Chang

NTU, Chinese Taipei

Aftermath of Typhoon Ondoy (Ketsana): Towards Climate Resilience and Green Growth of Metro Manila, Philippines

Maria Victoria Espaldon

UPLB, the Philippines

15:40~16:00

Assessment of Storm Surge on the Middle Coast of Vietnam

Nguyen Ba Thuy

NCHMF, Viet Nam

Landslide Trends under Extreme Climate Event

Chyi-Tyi Lee

NCU, Chinese Taipei

The Loss Surveying and Analysis of Typhoon Soudelor in Taipei and New Taipei City

Hsin-Chi Li

NCDR, Chinese Taipei

16:00~16:20

Improving 6-Hour Rainfall Forecasting for Typhoon Cases with Radar Data Assimilation

Chih-Chien Tsai

TTFRI, Chinese Taipei

Practical Management of Debris-flow-prone Torrents in Taiwan

Hsiao-Yuan Yin

SWCB, Chinese Taipei

Communicating the Risks Associated with Weather Hazards

Denna Geppi

NOAA, USA

16:20~16:50

 Coffee Break

16:20~18:15

Poster Competition

Room: Locke and Archimedes

18:30~20:30

Banquet-Living One (By Invitation)

Time

25 May (Wed.)

08:30~09:00

Registration

09:00~11:00

Keynote Speech II

Room: The Forum

09:00~09:40

Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Activity in East Asia

Johnny Chung Leung Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong

09:40~10:20

Climate Change and Asian Cooperation

Gyewoon Choi, K-Water, Korea

10:20~11:00

Tropical Storms: Changes and Trends

Wolfgang Karl Härdle, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany

11:00~11:20

Coffee Break

11:20~11:35

Student Poster Awards

Room: The Forum

11:35~12:00

Concluding Session & Closing Remarks

Chair: Yu-Chieng Liou

Room: The Forum

12:00~13:00

Lunch

Room: The Forum

13:00~15:30

Member Economies Experience Sharing (By Invitation)

Each presentation: 15 minutes

Chair: Cynthia Celebre, Tien-Chiang Yeh

Room: Locke

13:00~13:15

A New Look on the Protection against Floods and Measurements to Mitigate it-

Case of Debris Flows and Floods in the North of Chile in March, 2015

Romina Aranda, Ministry of Public Works, Chile

13:15~13:30

Verification of WRF Model for Rainfall Prediction in Indonesia

Miming Saepudin, Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency, Indonesia

13:30~13:45

Forecasting and Application Research on Extreme Climate Events in APCC

Hong-Sang Jung, APEC Climate Center, Korea

13:45~14:00

Tropical Cyclone Severe Wind Risk Analysis for GMMA

Thelma Cinco, Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and

Astronomical Services Administration, The Philippines

14:00~14:15

Coffee Break

14:15~14:30

Seasonal Climate Forecasting in the Philippines-An Early Warning Tool

Edna Juanillo, Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and

Astronomical Services Administration, The Philippines

14:30~14:45

Recent Development for Typhoon Forecast Technique in CWB

Kuo-Chen Lu, Central Weather Bureau, Chinese Taipei

14:45~15:00

Tropical Cyclones in Thailand

Sugunyanee Yavinchan, Thai Meteorological Agency, Thailand         

15:00~15:15

Improved Global Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from NOAA: Lessons Learned and Path Forward

Sergio Abarca, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA      

15:15~15:30

Lesson Learned in Disaster Risk Management in Viet Nam

Duong Hong Son, Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Climate Change, Viet Nam

16:30~18:00

ACTS Steering Committee Meeting

18:30~20:00

Banquet (Steering Committee)

Time

26 May (Thur.)

09:00~17:00

Field Study (By Invitation)